Source: Probabilistic Shifts

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BenSibelman
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== Discussion at [[Sol 2009]] ==

=== Participants ===

* [[Arthur Brock]]
* [[Paul Krafel]]
* [[Alysia Krafel]]
* [[Brandon CS Sanders]]
* [[Ben Sibelman]]

=== Summary ===

''These notes start in the middle of the session''

* A probabilistic shift is an action that doesn't have precisely knowable outcomes
** Like moving pegs in [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pachinko Pachinko] or the similar [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galton_board probability demonstration device] that creates a bell curve made of balls)
** Making something on the edge of the bell curve appear possible to others will draw in allies

=== Stream flow metaphor from [[The Upward Spiral]] ===

* Water moving slowly vs. quickly
** Slow movement means some water soaks into the ground rather than eroding a gully deeper
** Much of the water then re-evaporates and never makes it to the bottom of the gully
** This is equivalent to a situation where everyone involved in a project contributes creatively rather than a few leaders "letting the rest of the creativity run down the slope and leave"
*** Alysia: This is hard because, having created a "space" for your project or group, it's hard to let others form their own creative "bubbles" inside it

=== Examples ===

* Chrysalis Charter School tried a model where each teacher autonomously set their budget, so that "money flowed from the bottom up"
** Didn't work, now a teacher's co-op
* [http://aboutus.org AboutUs] is becoming more hierarchical in order to move faster with its venture capital
** By contrast, [http://wikipedia.org Wikipedia] grew more slowly/organically with its nonhierarchical model
* Organization of information on the Internet
** Skill that kids need to learn
** Often you don't know exactly what you're looking for
** Supersites index a bunch of sites, then other sites index the supersites: similar to how nature is organized